Precision Private Equity, Inc. Blog

Welcome to the Blog for Precision Private Equity, Inc. While frequently focused on Las Vegas real estate, other markets are also discussed. Information posted either contains appropriate source citations or is anecdotal. It is intent of this blog to educate and excite. This blog does NOT constitute an offer to sell or a solicitation of an offer to buy (a) security/securities. Copyright (c) 2010 Precision Private Equity, Inc. All rights reserved. http://www.precisionpei.com

About Us

Las Vegas, NV, United States
Precision Private Equity, Inc. was formed in 2008 to help investors with private placements and investment property. While I retain an active real estate salesperson's license with the Realty One Group in Las Vegas, I've entered into a business relationship with SONA Financial Services, Inc. to provide businesses with commercial equipment financing. Previously, I worked for Microsoft Corporation as a program manager for Hotmail as well as a project manager and director for a small California-based real estate development company.

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    Friday, May 28, 2010

    Las Vegas Housing Market Update: April 2010

    Image source: http://www.lvrj.com/business/existing-home-sales-rise-in-april-94761909.html

    April's numbers for Las Vegas were a bit of a mixed bag; the RJ article cites statistics such as:
    • 3,724 existing home closings (+2% compared to same month 1 year prior)
    • $128,000 median existing home price (-1.6% compared to same month 1 year prior)
    • 2,146 foreclosures (+91% compared to same month 1 year prior)
    • REOs account for 43.6% of all closings in April 2010.
    • Short sales account for 27% of all closings in April 2010.
    As always, we encourage savvy readers to go to the source, which has this data in tabular format and has charts/graphs to make the data easier to digest. It is noteworthy that the source cited here is from GLVAR, which does account for sales that occur outside of the MLS; interestingly, the number of closings reported between the RJ article and GLVAR is substantially different this month.

    According to GLVAR:
    • 2.951 total homes sold
    • $140,000 median price
    • 51.6% of homes sold were sold in less than 30 days
    • 68% of homes sold were sold in less than 60 days
    • 7,207 total number of homes available on the MLS without offers (anecdotally, it is very tight out there for home buyers!)
    The statistics give us little or no predictive power regarding the direction of the market; most experts appear to agree that the artificially constrained inventory (more than 70% of closings are REO or short sales) will last a while, but not forever.

    Counterpoint:
    The sudden increase in number of foreclosures in April, along with the expiration of the federal tax credit could create a momentary "dip" in the amount of sales. The spectre of inflation and consumer confidence continues to send ripples through the country, especially as the European markets continue to feel waves from Greece's financial instability. Those expecting a "U-shaped" recovery in Las Vegas (or anywhere else in the country) may be disappointed.

    The net of these variables is simple: Las Vegas' housing market is likely going to stay within a narrow range for the foreseeable future. Paradoxically, the shortage of inventory (speculatively, intentionally created by banks with REO/short sale inventory) has little or no impact on upward pricing pressure.

    Posted By: David Kang

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    Thursday, May 27, 2010

    The Speed of Blogging

    In response to the speed of market changes, this blog will be reserved for medium-depth articles and content such as monthly statistical updates. Quarterly market opinions will continue to published on our website.

    The most current information can be found on our Facebook page: http://www.facebook.com/?ref=logo#!/profile.php?id=1345700238

    Monday, May 3, 2010

    Party With Us & Support the Battle Against Cancer


    Image credit: Melissa Arias, Distinguished Events Director

    It's not often that our blog covers social issues (beyond the current housing "crisis") but we always support and promote good causes. Join us for a great party, great networking, and support the fight against cancer!

    May 20, 2010 5:30pm - 8:30pm @ Kahunaville (Treasure Island Hotel & Casino, Las Vegas)

    All the details here: PDF Flyer

    Questions? Contact Melissa Arias (melissa.arias@cancer.org; 702-891-9012)

    Posted By: David Kang

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    Wednesday, April 7, 2010

    Las Vegas Housing Market Update: March 2010

    Image credit: http://www.lasvegasrealtor.com/media/stats/2010_03_Mar.pdf

    The GLVAR (Greater Las Vegas Association of Realtors) has released statistics for March 2010. As expected, the market appears to continue to show signs of "the paradox:" tight inventory accompanied by flat prices.

    Notable statistics:

    • 3,175 units sold (+32.8% from Feb '10)
    • $136,000 median price (+0.2% from Feb '10)
    • 7,589 units available without offers (-4.8% from Feb'10)
    • 49% of sales were on the market less than 30 days
    • 64.5% of sales were on the market less than 60 days
    Anecdotally, we continue to see very competitive situations in the first time homebuyer inventory (prices approx. $250K or less), including multiple offer and bidding situations. Ironically, this competition is having little or no impact on price increases.

    Posted By: David Kang

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    Las Vegas Housing Market Update: February 2010

    Image credit: http://www.lvrj.com/business/local-home-sales-up--prices-down-87256402.html

    February's numbers for the Las Vegas housing market seemed to indicate more evidence that housing may be stabilizing. According to the RJ article, even though online sources like Zillow.com report that there are 40,000+ listings available, the total number of units available without offers is only 7,974.

    We encourage savvy investors to examine the source data, which can be found here, before drawing their own conclusions. Statistics of note:

    • 2,390 units sold (-8.4% from Jan '10)
    • $135,694 median price (+0.6% from Jan '10)
    • 46.6% of all sales were on the market less than 30 days
    • 65.3% of all sales were on the market less than 60 days
    • 48.7% of all sales were cash (breaks January 2010's all time record of 45.5%)
    One important quote from the RJ article: "Don't think you're going to get that house for list price because you're not," Magness [a Realtor with Realty One Group] said. "I had a guy say he wouldn't go over list price. He's going to have to bid over or he won't get it."

    The market paradox of flat prices and tight inventory appears to be creating bidding wars, particularly in the competitive first time homebuyer segments under $250,000.

    Posted By: David Kang

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    Thursday, March 4, 2010

    Las Vegas Investment Condo - Pro Forma >8% Cap

    Disclaimer: this post discusses a property in which we have a direct financial interest. This post is designed to be informational only and nothing written can be relied upon to make decisions. Readers must retain and consult a duly licensed and insured attorney, accountant, and investment advisor prior to making any decisions.

    We have recently listed an investment property that continues to demonstrate why we are salivating and taking full advantage of investment property in the area. Check out this pro forma ROI!

    Additionally, like our previous listing, this property is currently occupied and the monthly rent of $1,154 is not pro forma - it is actual.

    We feel that the ability to purchase real property for less than replacement cost and receive a pro forma ROI above 8% is a rare occurence. Interested parties should contact us (702.994.4027 or blogger@precisionpei.com) immediately.

    Posted By: David Kang

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    Friday, February 26, 2010

    Making Sense of HAMP and HAFA

    Image credit: http://www.state.nj.us/dca/images/library/dhcrart/Question.jpg

    April 5th marks a significant change in short sales around the country as it is the deadline to for certain mortgage servicers (the entities to whom borrowers make their mortgage payments) to implement HAFA (Home Affordable Foreclosure Alternative). This post is a quick guide for the investor to understand HAMP (Home Affordable Modification Program) and HAFA.

    The information provided below is *NOT* advice of any kind and readers must retain and consult a duly licensed attorney, accountant, and investment advisor before making any decisions. Further, we will provide our opinion on the impact of HAMP & HAFA on the Las Vegas housing market.

    Due to the significant amount of misinformation available via real estate blogs, the line between fact and opinion will be extremely clear in this post: OPINIONS will be marked as such, using capital letters and boldface text.

    What is HAMP?
    HAMP is an acronym that stands for Home Affordable Modification Program. It is a government program that requires participating mortgage servicers (the entities to whom borrowers may their mortgage payments) to follow certain guidelines regarding mortgage modifications for distressed homeowners. HAMP is a part of the "Making Home Affordable" (MHA) government effort.

    What is MHA?
    MHA is an acronym that stands for Making Home Affordable. MHA is a government effort that encompasses HAMP (modifications) and HARP ("Home Affordable Refinance Program," which obviously addresses refinances for distressed homeowners).

    Who are the participating mortgage servicers?
    This is the list of participating mortgage servicers.

    What is HAFA?
    HAFA is an acronym that stands for Home Affordable Foreclosure Alternative. HAFA is a part of HAMP and HAFA takes effect on April 5, 2010. HAFA addresses short sales and deed in lieu of foreclosure.

    If certain conditions are met, the borrower MUST be considered for a short sale OR deed in lieu of foreclosure by their servicer. These conditions are as follows (verbatim from Supplemental Directive 09-09):

    - The property is the borrower’s principal residence;
    - The mortgage loan is a first lien mortgage originated on or before January 1, 2009;
    - The mortgage is delinquent or default is reasonably foreseeable;
    - The current unpaid principal balance is equal to or less than $729,7501; and
    - The borrower’s total monthly mortgage payment (as defined in Supplemental Directive 09-01) exceeds 31 percent of the borrower’s gross income.

    Additionally, the servicer must:
    - Develop a written policy of how minimum net proceeds (for short sales) will be determined.
    - Consistently apply said policy to determination of minimum net proceeds for all of its short sales.
    - Accept a standardized form (RASS - Request for Approval of a Short Sale) requesting short sale approvals.
    - Approve or deny a RASS within 10 business days.
    - Not require a close of escrow of an approved short sale less than 45 days after the date of the purchase agreement without the approval of the borrower.

    So What?
    If a borrower's mortgage servicer is on this list, they must participate in HAMP and as of April 5, 2010, they also must participate in HAFA. Participation in HAMP and HAFA is MANDATORY for servicers on the list.

    There are blogs that state that HAFA is optional; this statement is patently false. Here is verbatim text from Supplemental Directive 09-09 (bold text added): "As a result, servicers already participating in HAMP must follow the guidance set forth in this Supplemental Directive, which provides servicers with the option to determine the extent to which short sales or deeds-in-lieu will be offered under this program."

    OPINIONS:
    The impact of HAMP and perhaps more importantly, HAFA is tremendous. As many have experienced first hand, the process for completing a short sale transaction is cumbersome, tiresome, and in Las Vegas, only successful about 25% of the time.

    While we normally oppose government legislation and/or intervention in the free market, we feel that the introduction of HAFA and its mandatory compliance could be a substantial contributor to the stabilization and recovery of the housing market, both nationally and locally. In our opinion, this stabilization really centers on several items:
    • A requirement placed upon servicers to standardize their short sale approval process, including their minimum net proceeds calculation. While the SD 09-09 does not specify how lenders can calculate their minimum net proceeds, it does state that they must have a written policy for its calculation and they must uniformly apply it to their short sale considerations.
    • A requirement placed upon servicers to respond within 10 business days of a request for short sale approval. This is a tremendous change. Buyers of short sales have long been frustrated by waiting periods over 6 months and this can no longer be the case.
    In our opinion, HAFA's implementation on April 5 will fundamentally change the characteristic of short sales, especially in Las Vegas. We participated in a conference call with Bank of America, Wells Fargo, and Freddie Mac this week that indicated all three entities were firmly on board with HAFA.

    Counterpoint (OPINION):
    Like all government programs and efforts, HAFA's implementation may be substantially hampered by the following:
    • Lack of enforcement.
    • Lack of knowledge (just google "HAFA" and read some of the misinformation).
    • Loopholes in requirements.
    • Bad faith compliance (for example, a servicer who does not want to comply can follow SD 09-09 but set the mininum net proceeds at an unreasonably high level, thus denying all short sale approval requests).
    Posted By: David Kang

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    Tuesday, February 23, 2010

    Carpe Venalicium (Seize the Market)


    Disclaimer: this post discusses a property in which we have a direct financial interest. This post is designed to be informational only and nothing written can be relied upon to make decisions. Readers must retain and consult a duly licensed and insured attorney, accountant, and investment advisor prior to making any decisions.

    Continuing the vein of property priced under the MSRP of a Ford F-150, we have recently listed an investment property that also yields terrific pro forma ROI. A back of the envelope calculation yields the following pro forma:


    We feel that the ability to purchase real property for less than the price of a new Ford truck comes infrequently. Interested parties should contact us (702.994.4027 or
    blogger@precisionpei.com) immediately.

    Posted By: David Kang

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