Precision Private Equity, Inc. Blog

Welcome to the Blog for Precision Private Equity, Inc. While frequently focused on Las Vegas real estate, other markets are also discussed. Information posted either contains appropriate source citations or is anecdotal. It is intent of this blog to educate and excite. This blog does NOT constitute an offer to sell or a solicitation of an offer to buy (a) security/securities. Copyright (c) 2009 Precision Private Equity, Inc. All rights reserved. http://www.precisionpei.com

About Us

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David Kang
Las Vegas, NV, United States
I began investing in real estate while I was a program manager for Microsoft Corporation. Later, I was retained by a firm and was responsible for $10M+ of projects in 3 states, totaling 249 units, and a $10M+ investment property brokerage. I formed Precision Private Equity, Inc. in 2008 to help investors with private placements and investment property. I'm also a real estate agent with Realty One Group.
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    Thursday, March 4, 2010

    Las Vegas Investment Condo - Pro Forma >8% Cap

    Disclaimer: this post discusses a property in which we have a direct financial interest. This post is designed to be informational only and nothing written can be relied upon to make decisions. Readers must retain and consult a duly licensed and insured attorney, accountant, and investment advisor prior to making any decisions.

    We have recently listed an investment property that continues to demonstrate why we are salivating and taking full advantage of investment property in the area. Check out this pro forma ROI!

    Additionally, like our previous listing, this property is currently occupied and the monthly rent of $1,154 is not pro forma - it is actual.

    We feel that the ability to purchase real property for less than replacement cost and receive a pro forma ROI above 8% is a rare occurence. Interested parties should contact us (702.994.4027 or blogger@precisionpei.com) immediately.

    Posted By: David Kang

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    Friday, February 26, 2010

    Making Sense of HAMP and HAFA

    Image credit: http://www.state.nj.us/dca/images/library/dhcrart/Question.jpg

    April 5th marks a significant change in short sales around the country as it is the deadline to for certain mortgage servicers (the entities to whom borrowers make their mortgage payments) to implement HAFA (Home Affordable Foreclosure Alternative). This post is a quick guide for the investor to understand HAMP (Home Affordable Modification Program) and HAFA.

    The information provided below is *NOT* advice of any kind and readers must retain and consult a duly licensed attorney, accountant, and investment advisor before making any decisions. Further, we will provide our opinion on the impact of HAMP & HAFA on the Las Vegas housing market.

    Due to the significant amount of misinformation available via real estate blogs, the line between fact and opinion will be extremely clear in this post: OPINIONS will be marked as such, using capital letters and boldface text.

    What is HAMP?
    HAMP is an acronym that stands for Home Affordable Modification Program. It is a government program that requires participating mortgage servicers (the entities to whom borrowers may their mortgage payments) to follow certain guidelines regarding mortgage modifications for distressed homeowners. HAMP is a part of the "Making Home Affordable" (MHA) government effort.

    What is MHA?
    MHA is an acronym that stands for Making Home Affordable. MHA is a government effort that encompasses HAMP (modifications) and HARP ("Home Affordable Refinance Program," which obviously addresses refinances for distressed homeowners).

    Who are the participating mortgage servicers?
    This is the list of participating mortgage servicers.

    What is HAFA?
    HAFA is an acronym that stands for Home Affordable Foreclosure Alternative. HAFA is a part of HAMP and HAFA takes effect on April 5, 2010. HAFA addresses short sales and deed in lieu of foreclosure.

    If certain conditions are met, the borrower MUST be considered for a short sale OR deed in lieu of foreclosure by their servicer. These conditions are as follows (verbatim from Supplemental Directive 09-09):

    - The property is the borrower’s principal residence;
    - The mortgage loan is a first lien mortgage originated on or before January 1, 2009;
    - The mortgage is delinquent or default is reasonably foreseeable;
    - The current unpaid principal balance is equal to or less than $729,7501; and
    - The borrower’s total monthly mortgage payment (as defined in Supplemental Directive 09-01) exceeds 31 percent of the borrower’s gross income.

    Additionally, the servicer must:
    - Develop a written policy of how minimum net proceeds (for short sales) will be determined.
    - Consistently apply said policy to determination of minimum net proceeds for all of its short sales.
    - Accept a standardized form (RASS - Request for Approval of a Short Sale) requesting short sale approvals.
    - Approve or deny a RASS within 10 business days.
    - Not require a close of escrow of an approved short sale less than 45 days after the date of the purchase agreement without the approval of the borrower.

    So What?
    If a borrower's mortgage servicer is on this list, they must participate in HAMP and as of April 5, 2010, they also must participate in HAFA. Participation in HAMP and HAFA is MANDATORY for servicers on the list.

    There are blogs that state that HAFA is optional; this statement is patently false. Here is verbatim text from Supplemental Directive 09-09 (bold text added): "As a result, servicers already participating in HAMP must follow the guidance set forth in this Supplemental Directive, which provides servicers with the option to determine the extent to which short sales or deeds-in-lieu will be offered under this program."

    OPINIONS:
    The impact of HAMP and perhaps more importantly, HAFA is tremendous. As many have experienced first hand, the process for completing a short sale transaction is cumbersome, tiresome, and in Las Vegas, only successful about 25% of the time.

    While we normally oppose government legislation and/or intervention in the free market, we feel that the introduction of HAFA and its mandatory compliance could be a substantial contributor to the stabilization and recovery of the housing market, both nationally and locally. In our opinion, this stabilization really centers on several items:
    • A requirement placed upon servicers to standardize their short sale approval process, including their minimum net proceeds calculation. While the SD 09-09 does not specify how lenders can calculate their minimum net proceeds, it does state that they must have a written policy for its calculation and they must uniformly apply it to their short sale considerations.
    • A requirement placed upon servicers to respond within 10 business days of a request for short sale approval. This is a tremendous change. Buyers of short sales have long been frustrated by waiting periods over 6 months and this can no longer be the case.
    In our opinion, HAFA's implementation on April 5 will fundamentally change the characteristic of short sales, especially in Las Vegas. We participated in a conference call with Bank of America, Wells Fargo, and Freddie Mac this week that indicated all three entities were firmly on board with HAFA.

    Counterpoint (OPINION):
    Like all government programs and efforts, HAFA's implementation may be substantially hampered by the following:
    • Lack of enforcement.
    • Lack of knowledge (just google "HAFA" and read some of the misinformation).
    • Loopholes in requirements.
    • Bad faith compliance (for example, a servicer who does not want to comply can follow SD 09-09 but set the mininum net proceeds at an unreasonably high level, thus denying all short sale approval requests).
    Posted By: David Kang

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    Tuesday, February 23, 2010

    Carpe Venalicium (Seize the Market)


    Disclaimer: this post discusses a property in which we have a direct financial interest. This post is designed to be informational only and nothing written can be relied upon to make decisions. Readers must retain and consult a duly licensed and insured attorney, accountant, and investment advisor prior to making any decisions.

    Continuing the vein of property priced under the MSRP of a Ford F-150, we have recently listed an investment property that also yields terrific pro forma ROI. A back of the envelope calculation yields the following pro forma:


    We feel that the ability to purchase real property for less than the price of a new Ford truck comes infrequently. Interested parties should contact us (702.994.4027 or
    blogger@precisionpei.com) immediately.

    Posted By: David Kang

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    Monday, February 15, 2010

    Las Vegas Housing Market Update: January 2010

    Source: http://www.lvrj.com/business/las-vegas-home-sales-up-17-percent-from-last-year-83909757.html

    January's housing statistics for Las Vegas serve up fascinating statistics; according to the Review Journal article, prices have continued to fall. The Review Journal acquiesces that even though the median price of a home in Las Vegas is down 15.7% from the same month last year, it was only down 0.8% from December 2009, which is essentially flat.

    More importantly, the total inventory reported by the Review Journal is 19.742 listings and after subtracting those properties under contract, there are only 8,107 units available.

    More statistics for the data hounds out there:
    • Percentage of sales that were REO (foreclosures): 57.4% (down from 60.1% in Dec 2009)
    • Percentage of sales that were short sales: 21.1%
    • Median price: $134,925 (down 0.8% from Dec 2009)
    • Percentage of sales that were all cash: 45.5% (all time record high)
    The source data, provided by the Greater Las Vegas Association of Realtors, can be found here: http://www.lasvegasrealtor.com/media/stats/2010_01_Jan.pdf

    As usual, we encourage our readers to examine the source data so that they may draw their own conclusions. We highlight the following from GLVAR's more detailed statistics:
    • 71% of all January 2010 sales spent less than 60 days on the market
    • 2,608 total sales in January 2010.
    Our interpretation:
    • Buyers who still expect to be coddled by sellers in a perceived buyer's market are in for a rude awakening - it is very difficult to compete for property when 45.5% of the sales are happening for all cash.
    • Lenders (i.e., banks) continue to control the market by having the final say on over 75% of all sales.
    • Pricing seems to have stabilized over the last several months. See this blog post regarding why we don't think there will be another "wave" of foreclosures.
    Counterpoint:

    No one can see the future and Las Vegas suffers from a high dependence on leisure/hospitality. Until employment, credit, and confidence return to the American consumer, Las Vegas may continue to suffer in the economic doldrums. No one wants to spend money visiting Las Vegas if they are concerned about whether they will have a job on Monday morning.

    It is conceivable the due to its dependence on tourism, Las Vegas may recover more slowly than its surrounding markets.

    Posted By: David Kang

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    Las Vegas Housing Market Update: Q4 2009

    We've just published our most recent market opinion regarding the Las Vegas residential property market - see the complimentary opinion document here (PDF): http://precisionpei.com/PrecisionMktOpinions/2009.10.27LasVegasMarketUpdate.pdf

    Posted By: David Kang

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    Tuesday, February 2, 2010

    Las Vegas Housing Market Update: December 2009

    Image credit: http://www.lvrj.com/business/housing-haunted-by-sales-statistics-82236467.html

    Noteworthy statistics from December 2009:
    • Median resale price of SFRs: $123,000.00
    • Median new home price of SFRs: $216,854.00
    • Existing home volume for 2009: 44,885 (second highest ever on record)
    More statistics available from GLVAR here: http://www.lasvegasrealtor.com/media/stats/2009_12_Dec.pdf

    Posted By: David Kang

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    Thursday, January 28, 2010

    Appraisal Experts Agree Las Vegas is a "Complex Market"

    Appraisal experts say Las Vegas a complex market - Business - ReviewJournal.com

    In the above article, published yesterday in the Review Journal, our position stating that Las Vegas' housing market is a "paradox" is supported - even appraisers are having difficulty estimating value.

    The combination of distressed sales (short sales, REOs/foreclosures) is keeping prices down but anecdotally, there is substantial competition for inventory.

    Posted By: David Kang

    Monday, January 4, 2010

    US Treasury Removes Capital Limits for Fannie Mae & Freddie Mac Aid

    Image credit: http://www.crystalgraphics.com/PowerPoint/Templates.Search.Details.asp?plugin=n&product=Finance_0913&refPage=search&favorite=

    On Christmas Eve, the US Treasury gave Fannie Mae & Freddie Mac an amazing present - unlimited support. We have several opinions about this action. The short of the matter is that this action could provide much-needed liquidity in the US residential housing market, possibly even propping up prices. The more in-depth analysis regarding the potential impacts of this action could easily fill the pages of an economics textbook.

    Possible Benefits:
    • A viable secondary market for residential real estate backed promissory notes (i.e. residential mortgages) with an infinite appetite.
    • Support for residential pricing - nationwide.
    Possible Negatives:
    • Slow implementation.
    • Continued usage of taxpayer monies.
    • Inflation.
    We will continue to watch this development carefully and reserve judgment for its actual implementation.

    Posted By: David Kang

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